I apologise for the delay of this release. I began writing this article April 10th. I feel like trying to publish this article has been like the below gif, but instead of getting on board, the train perpetually is 5 metres away.

Today’s article is not particularly aimed for Personal Trainers, but to everyone, so as a fellow business owner, I feel that you have the right to read this. I have been dragging my ear on the ground before the release of Dall-E. Its been 5 months since the trend of people paying to have their photos redrawn by ai. Once this trend took off it became apparent to me how prevalent AI had already become. I apologise for the delay of this release. I feel like I have been

In these last few weeks it has become ever-pressing that a lot is going to happen in the next 9 months. I am scared, excited, and overall not sure whether our reality is going to land on Wall-E or Terminator or somewhere in between. All I know is this is the inflexion point.

A lot of people are going to become millionaires and many, many more will see their relative equity decrease. Stack AI replacing jobs with inflation problems from the money printing from the last 3 years, I think we are all on a mechanical bull. But hey, at least Powell will get his double digits unemployment goal. This is not exclusive with the US Fed, but with many other central banks hoping to wind back inflation..

For the sake of not throwing 33 ideas at you in one reading, I have split this into two parts. As much as I tried, I could not correctly communicate and correlate these ideas well enough. You’ll just have to wait until next week for part 2.

How Interstellar is a warning for 2023

Interstellar (2014) is a film that focuses on a group of explorers looking to find the human race a new home after Earth is imposed with famine, dust storms, disasters and droughts. The main farmable resource is corn due to it’s hearty growing resilience. A newly discovered wormhole named Gargantua in the far reaches of the solar system has Earth send a group of explorers to set foot on a newfound planet that may have the right environment to sustain human life. The mission is not certain but is the final gamble humanity can take to try and survive.

In the film, It’s discovered this planet was just a nothing burger. But, in pursuit of looking for such planet, and the mission’s proximity to this wormhole, as viewers we see that time for these explorers had dilated. It dilated to such an extraneous effect that those left on Earth had advanced 80 years in the future.

TL;DR, Matthew McConaughey’s character spends too much time near a wormhole and consequently see’s his 8 year old daughter die of old age.

We are close to the Wormhole

Where I pull my theory today is not so much on the artifacts of discussion around climate policies, or famine but we are following this time warping effect as seen in the film. I write this to open the discussion around how we can navigate this and what problems we need to start solving in this upcoming market. More importantly, how do we humans compete as a resource (labour) against something else (AI) that has a better scaling factor and potentially lower overheads. Afterall, you don’t need to feed, shelter, bathe or entertain AI. In fact you don’t have to wait for one session of Chat GPT to age at least 18 years with a high school diploma and graduate degree for it to pass the bar exam.

It’s already outperforming student averages! My guess is that similar to the financial crash of 2008, where senior roles were taking entry level positions to have some sort of income, entry level positions skill requirements are going to go up whilst simultaneously pay rates will go down. Many believe the 2008 crash is why almost all white collar positions now require a university degree. Graduate Students were competing in non-graduate job vacancies.

If you are not yet aware, our jobs are a market resource called labour. The main outcome from labour is Effort. We are competing with AI on effort, and as the supply of effort increases, through business implementations of AI, the total price (we can charge as wages) for the same quantity of effort decreases. Decision makers, whether it be businesses or customers perform calculations when deciding between two options. We are competing against AI for our output of effort. Unlike AI our cost to maintain our 40 hours of work effort (for us is to live) does not approach $0.00 overtime. For example, would you receive nutrition plans from a nutritionist for $100 / week or would you get them from a chatbot at $8/ month? Don’t worry, the chatbot will still cater and create a personalised nutrition plan. It may even provide a better plan than a nutritionist, who knows? But… We are irrational, I could not answer this question of which option most would pick using reason.

So What?

Many of my colleagues and I have our ear on the ground to artificial intelligence. I have done R&D work on several Microsoft products over the years. They all look like child’s play to what was released last year with Chat GPT-3. Funnily enough, is child’s play to what was released several weeks ago. Namely, Chat GPT-4 and similarly the announcement of Microsoft’s Copilot, a sandboxed, controlled version of Chat GPT-4 applied to the Microsoft office suite.

How does GPT-4 relate to Interstellar and how is that going to affect your job?

In the film the team approaches Miller’s Planet, a planet that has close proximity to Gargantua, the big black hole in the film. The sheer mass of Gargantua causes severe gravitational time dilation where each hour spent on the surface costs the team 7 Earth years. By the way, I absolutely love the score by Hans Zimmer, with each tick representing a day.

Once the team escape Miller’s planet, the crew return to their mothership to find the member which stayed behind has been waiting for their return for 23 years. oof.

Similarly, later in the film Matthew McConaughey’s orbit’s the black hole which cost him another 51 Earth years, ensuring that he will never see his daughter again.

I believe there’s similarities to this film that can be drawn to LLM and Artificial Intelligence. Moore’s law suggests that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles every two years, I think the law of AI effort doubles every 2 weeks. In the last 10 days, there has been more news to make me excited and scared than there has every been in the last decade I’ve been keeping up with Tech. I believe this is why each day, many entrepreneurs are trying to build and use Open AI’s GPT to build their Noah’s ark.

In the last 5 Weeks:

• Release of GPT-4 (25K tokens vs 3K tokens)

• Announcement of Microsoft Copilot

• Announcement of Google Bard

• Mid Journey v5 now can now model hands correctly

• Bing Copilot update to Edge

• Mass adoption of Vertex Graphs

We [you and I] are the astronauts close to the gravitational influence of Artificial Intelligence named Chat GPT and the people on earth advancing at the rate of 61,320:1 [24 hrs / day * 7 years] are the companies invested into artificial Intelligence like Open AI, Microsoft and Google. Every week these companies have advanced to what it seems another 6 months into the future. they are using this delta to build economic moats that we are kept out from. They are racing to Deploy Golem (GLLMM) Class AIs into the world infrastructure as fast as possible. What happens when 1 programmer writing code with Chat GPT replaces a team of 10 programmers? What happens when this scales across thousands of industries?

Tristan Harris made a statement in a recent Video, The A.I. Dilemma - March 9, 2023, that resonates with this article: “We have a blind spot paradigmatically with exponential curves because on the Savannah there’s nothing in our evolutionary heritage that was built to see exponential curves.”

What can we do?

Given the proximity to Chat GPT, every hour counts for several weeks of evolution in this space, which means ‘just trying to work harder’ is a futile approach. We need to put our efforts into positioning ourselves where we do not compete with AI.

This is not supposed to be a downer article, I write this to suggest that time is not on our side. Especially for those that hold positions or have businesses that will find themselves having AI competitors. Some are leveraging AI themselves to improve their total effective output whereas some do not have to worry about this competition.

I do think it is worth pointing out that government and commercial vitality come into play with this and may poo poo on my theory of AI takeover. Governments could heavily regulate AI for the sake of ‘national defence’ whether economic or military. Similarly, if we are all replaced by AI and no one has a job, what’s the point of half the businesses that exist.

One thing that we have that AI does not is irrational decision making. Perhaps businesses understand this and will keep staffing the ineffective 80% as their $8 venti caramel Frappuccino purchases at Starbucks makes the world go round.

Anyway, that’s a wrap for this week. Tell me what you think.

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Be good.

- Reagan

To steer your emotion to something positive. I leave you with this… It made me giddy that this podcast came out. Thank you Flagrant Boys.